Stocks

This AI Bubble Is Just Getting Started, BofA Warns. Their Wild Strategy to Profit Might Shock You.

Laura Williams

September 19, 20252 min read
This AI Bubble Is Just Getting Started, BofA Warns. Their Wild Strategy to Profit Might Shock You.

If you think you've missed the boat on the colossal AI stock boom, think again. According to top strategists at Bank of America, the tech party powering the "Magnificent Seven" is far from over, and historical data suggests this so-called bubble has plenty of room to inflate.

History Says the Party's Not Over

In a recent analysis, a team led by Michael Hartnett delved into the history books, examining nine major equity bubbles stretching back to 1900. What they found was staggering: the average bubble saw stocks skyrocket by an incredible 244% from start to finish. At their absolute peak, these stocks sported an average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 58 and traded a whopping 29% above their 200-day moving average.

By comparison, today’s tech giants, despite their impressive run, haven't yet reached those truly euphoric levels. The Magnificent Seven have already surged roughly 60% since their low point in early April, fueled by a potent cocktail of groundbreaking AI developments, robust corporate earnings, and widespread anticipation that interest rate cuts are on the horizon.

How to Play the Mania Without Getting Burned

So, how does a savvy investor ride this powerful wave without getting wiped out when it inevitably crashes? This is where BofA's strategy gets interesting. They propose a clever hedge designed to protect against the potential fallout of a bursting bubble.

The plan involves a classic "barbell" approach with a modern twist:

  • Go Long: Instead of piling more into the high-flyers, the strategists suggest buying into cheap, distressed equities that the market has largely overlooked or written off.

  • Go Short: At the same time, they advise betting against the corporate debt of the very same richly-valued tech companies that are leading the charge. This short position acts as a powerful insurance policy.

This counterintuitive strategy allows investors to maintain exposure to a rising market while simultaneously building a defensive position against a potential tech credit event if the bubble does pop. The message from Wall Street is clear: the AI rally may feel frothy, but it might just be the opening act. While the frenzy continues, the smartest money isn't just watching the climb—it's already preparing for the descent.